Manager · 2016–2025 · every season
75–64 lifetime (54.0%), 102.2 points per game, 14,211 scored across 139 games.
Ten seasons against the field.
Higher is better. The league grew from 12 to 14 managers in 2020.
What the numbers actually say.
Who they keep coming back to — and who it cost them.
Seasons on their roster
Counted in distinct seasons drafted or rostered. Longest tie: Joe Burrow, 5 seasons (2020–2025).
Every opening pick
| Yr | Player | Pos | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Adrian Peterson | RB | #6 |
| 2017 | David Johnson | RB | #7 |
| 2018 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | #8 |
| 2019 | Christian McCaffrey | RB | #5 |
| 2020 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | #5 |
| 2021 | Dalvin Cook | RB | #3 |
| 2022 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | #2 |
| 2023 | Cooper Kupp | WR | #9 |
| 2024 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | #4 |
| 2025 | Brian Thomas | WR | #14 |
Wins split among the starters who earned them
| Player | Starts | Record | Win shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 39 | 21–18 | |
| Josh JacobsRB | 25 | 16–9 | |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 13 | 9–4 | |
| Patrick MahomesQB | 12 | 6–6 | |
| Terry McLaurinWR | 25 | 13–12 | |
| Matthew StaffordQB | 11 | 6–5 | |
| Aaron JonesRB | 13 | 10–3 | |
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 14 | 7–7 |
Cost more than they returned
| Player | Starts | Record | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 39 | 21–18 | |
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 14 | 7–7 | |
| Mike EvansWR | 10 | 4–6 | |
| San Francisco 49ersDEF | 28 | 13–15 | |
| Evan McPhersonK | 10 | 4–6 | |
| Tre TuckerWR | 7 | 3–4 | |
| Tony PollardRB | 13 | 7–6 | |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 13 | 6–7 |
Every win is worth one point, split among that week’s nine starters in proportion to what each of them scored; defeats divide the same way. Net is win shares minus loss shares, which is what the Stain is ranked on — ranked on loss shares alone it would just repeat the names on the left, since a share of the scoring mostly measures playing quarterback. A manager whose teams lost a lot can see the same player on both sides: he did the most of what winning there was, and still finished under water. 2020–2025 only, minimum 6 starts — the ESPN years record what each team scored each week but never who was in the lineup.
1–0 in 4 deals, +20 above replacement against the managers on the other side.
Judged on what each side’s haul put into the starting lineup above replacement at its position, from the week of the trade to the end of that regular season. Every trade in the league.
Against what each draft slot usually returns.
| Position | Picks | Beat rate | League | Adjusted | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 14 | 57.1% | 47.6% | 52.2% | QB Whisperer |
| WR | 55 | 50.9% | 50.7% | 50.9% | — |
| RB | 43 | 41.9% | 48.0% | 43.5% | RB Whiffer |
| TE | 20 | 25.0% | 51.6% | 36.4% | TE Whiffer |
Beat rate is shrunk toward the league rate for that position before tagging, so a hot streak on a handful of picks doesn’t earn a reputation. Tags need at least 10 picks at the position across the decade.
| Rounds | Picks | Beats expectation | Median swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Early (1-3) | 30 | 40.0% | -7 |
| Late (9+) | 52 | 36.5% | -15 |
| Middle (4-8) | 50 | 56.0% | -6 |
Beat their draft slot by the most
| Player | Drafted | Finished | Swing | Manager | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | WR37 | WR5 | +32 | Patrick | 2020 |
| Ladd McConkey | WR42 | WR12 | +30 | Patrick | 2024 |
| Jameson Williams | WR49 | WR19 | +30 | Patrick | 2024 |
| Michael Pittman | WR41 | WR15 | +26 | Patrick | 2021 |
| Latavius Murray | RB48 | RB24 | +24 | Patrick | 2017 |
The ones still being brought up
| Player | Drafted | Finished | Swing | Manager | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decker | WR57 | WR209 | -152 | Patrick | 2018 |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR36 | WR186 | -150 | Patrick | 2016 |
| John Ross | WR54 | WR199 | -145 | Patrick | 2017 |
| Deon Cain | WR67 | WR209 | -142 | Patrick | 2018 |
| Jerick McKinnon | RB10 | RB142 | -132 | Patrick | 2018 |
Lifetime, against everyone they’ve played.
| Opponent | Record | Games | Diff | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandt | 13–4 | 17 | +9 | 1,725 | 1,505 |
| Jonny | 9–4 | 13 | +5 | 1,431 | 1,309 |
| Chad | 10–6 | 16 | +4 | 1,696 | 1,544 |
| Jaime | 9–5 | 14 | +4 | 1,510 | 1,390 |
| Dylan | 4–1 | 5 | +3 | 540 | 503 |
| Chuck | 6–3 | 9 | +3 | 1,045 | 965 |
| Alex | 4–2 | 6 | +2 | 610 | 635 |
| Gage | 7–5 | 12 | +2 | 1,279 | 1,307 |
| Austen | 2–1 | 3 | +1 | 340 | 344 |
| Josh | 1–0 | 1 | +1 | 112 | 95 |
| Jeff | 8–9 | 17 | -1 | 1,643 | 1,815 |
| Ty | 1–2 | 3 | -1 | 298 | 321 |
| Brandon | 5–7 | 12 | -2 | 1,083 | 1,265 |
| Gavin | 0–2 | 2 | -2 | 213 | 227 |
| Cameron | 4–6 | 10 | -2 | 960 | 1,056 |
| Ryan | 4–9 | 13 | -5 | 1,272 | 1,477 |
| Joseph | 2–7 | 9 | -5 | 793 | 910 |
Players who show up specifically to ruin their week.
| Player | Faced | Avg vs them | His norm | Excess/game | Total damage | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan AllenWR | 4× | 24.2 | 14.1 | +10.1 | +40.4 | 38.5 |
| Justin HerbertQB | 6× | 25.0 | 19.5 | +5.6 | +33.5 | 39.5 |
| Josh JacobsRB | 4× | 21.4 | 13.5 | +7.9 | +31.5 | 33.9 |
| George KittleTE | 4× | 19.6 | 11.9 | +7.7 | +30.7 | 36.1 |
| Younghoe KooK | 7× | 11.9 | 8.4 | +3.4 | +23.9 | 21.0 |
Measured against each player’s own average per start that season, so this finds players who did unusual damage rather than simply good players. Needs 4+ starts against this manager. Sleeper era only (2020–2025) — the ESPN export has no per-week player scoring.
Their own high and low water marks.
| When | PF | Opponent | PA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 w12 | 153.3 | Jaime | 110.3 | W |
| 2024 w5 | 150.8 | Jonny | 91.2 | W |
| 2024 w14 | 148.4 | Dylan | 90.8 | W |
| 2020 w3 | 144.5 | Chad | 123.5 | W |
| 2017 w15 | 141.8 | Chuck | 87.3 | W |
| When | PF | Opponent | PA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 w4 | 48.1 | Jeff | 96.5 | L |
| 2022 w9 | 52.9 | Ryan | 126.0 | L |
| 2021 w15 | 56.9 | Chad | 113.2 | L |
| 2022 w6 | 59.0 | Joseph | 96.3 | L |
| 2019 w11 | 60.9 | Joseph | 104.6 | L |