Manager · 2016–2016 · 1 season
11–3 lifetime (78.6%), 117.8 points per game, 1,649 scored across 14 games.
Ten seasons against the field.
Higher is better. The league grew from 12 to 14 managers in 2020.
What the numbers actually say.
Who they keep coming back to — and who it cost them.
Seasons on their roster
No player appeared on this roster in more than one season.
Every opening pick
| Yr | Player | Pos | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Julio Jones | WR | #11 |
No win shares for Gavin: they last played in 2016, and the ESPN years record what each team scored each week but never who was in the lineup. Lineups only exist from 2020.
Against what each draft slot usually returns.
| Position | Picks | Beat rate | League | Adjusted | Tag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 66.7% | 47.6% | 50.7% | under 10 picks |
| RB | 3 | 66.7% | 48.0% | 51.1% | under 10 picks |
| TE | 2 | 50.0% | 51.6% | 51.4% | under 10 picks |
| WR | 4 | 25.0% | 50.7% | 45.3% | under 10 picks |
Beat rate is shrunk toward the league rate for that position before tagging, so a hot streak on a handful of picks doesn’t earn a reputation. Tags need at least 10 picks at the position across the decade.
| Rounds | Picks | Beats expectation | Median swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Early (1-3) | 3 | 66.7% | -1 |
| Late (9+) | 4 | 50.0% | -22 |
| Middle (4-8) | 5 | 40.0% | -5 |
Beat their draft slot by the most
| Player | Drafted | Finished | Swing | Manager | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Gordon | RB34 | RB7 | +27 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB4 | QB1 | +3 | Gavin | 2016 |
| LeSean McCoy | RB6 | RB4 | +2 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Antonio Gates | TE14 | TE12 | +2 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Andy Dalton | QB17 | QB16 | +1 | Gavin | 2016 |
The ones still being brought up
| Player | Drafted | Finished | Swing | Manager | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Wheaton | WR45 | WR146 | -101 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Tony Romo | QB13 | QB58 | -45 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Thomas Rawls | RB15 | RB58 | -43 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Donte Moncrief | WR28 | WR70 | -42 | Gavin | 2016 |
| Tyler Eifert | TE9 | TE25 | -16 | Gavin | 2016 |
Lifetime, against everyone they’ve played.
Their own high and low water marks.
| When | PF | Opponent | PA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 w4 | 143.9 | Jeff | 102.7 | W |
| 2016 w2 | 139.6 | Chad | 111.6 | W |
| 2016 w8 | 136.6 | Jonny | 127.1 | W |
| 2016 w16 | 135.9 | Gage | 145.2 | L |
| 2016 w12 | 131.0 | Patrick | 127.6 | W |
| When | PF | Opponent | PA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 w3 | 92.2 | Ryan | 152.4 | L |
| 2016 w6 | 96.0 | Patrick | 85.1 | W |
| 2016 w11 | 100.5 | Gage | 120.4 | L |
| 2016 w9 | 104.7 | Jaime | 100.3 | W |
| 2016 w14 | 106.6 | Jaime | 72.2 | W |